
Interest rate cuts have been under consideration at the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) since September, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja told El Financiero in an interview.
In an unexpected decision last week, Banxico lowered interest rates from 6.50% to 6.25%, a reduction of 25 basis points approved by a 3-2 vote. Deputy Governors Galia Borja and Jonathan Heath voted to leave rates unchanged as inflation continued to climb, although it remains within the 3% plus or minus 1% range.
Turning to the exchange rate, she noted that the currency remains stronger than the average USD/MXN exchange rate recorded in 2025. She added: “The importance of exchange rate behavior under our free-floating regime lies in its potential impact on inflation. And we know that the pass-through of exchange rate fluctuations to consumer prices in Mexico is small. This is even more noticeable in an environment of slack.”

Looking ahead, she also said that “maintaining the rate at its current level – 6.25% – for an extended period will support the convergence of inflation to the target and will be adequate to address external macroeconomic challenges.”
As Mexico’s central bank, the Bank of Mexico, or Banxico, is responsible for setting monetary policy and safeguarding the value of the national currency, the Mexican Peso (MXN). Its primary aim is therefore to keep inflation low and stable within its target range: at or near 3%, the midpoint of a tolerance band running from 2% to 4%.
Setting interest rates is Banxico’s principal monetary policy tool. If inflation exceeds its target, the bank seeks to bring it down by increasing rates. This raises borrowing costs for households and businesses, cooling economic activity. By offering higher yields and making Mexico more attractive to investors, higher interest rates generally support the Mexican Peso (MXN). Lower rates, by contrast, tend to weigh on MXN. A key consideration is the interest rate differential with the USD, including expectations for Banxico’s rate decisions relative to those of the US Federal Reserve (Fed).
Decisions by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) have a substantial influence on Banxico’s monetary policy. The Mexican central bank meets eight times a year, with its policy committee normally convening a week after the Fed. This allows Banxico to respond to, and at times anticipate, the Federal Reserve’s policy measures. Following the Covid-19 pandemic, for instance, Banxico raised rates ahead of the Fed to reduce the risk of a sharp depreciation in the Mexican Peso (MXN) and avert capital outflows that could destabilise the country.