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US Dollar Index: Fed path and CPI focus – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid and team note the Dollar Index closed at 102.11, up 0.51%, as markets pivot from strong US payrolls toward October CPI and PPI. Their economists expect softer monthly inflation prints, while year-on-year CPI cannot be calculated due to missing 2025 index levels. They still project 25bp Fed rate hikes in December and March.
Dollar supported by data and Fed
"We move on from payrolls to US inflation as the main macro focus this week, with October CPI tomorrow and PPI on Friday, alongside a busy slate of Fed speakers."
"Our economists expect headline CPI to rise by 0.20% month-on-month, down from 0.65% previously, with core CPI also up 0.20% after 0.33% last time."
"Because October 2025 index levels were not produced during last year’s government shutdown, year-on-year inflation rates cannot be calculated for this release."
"Our economists expect producer prices to rise by 0.20% month-on-month, compared with 0.32% in September, leaving the year-on-year rate broadly steady at 3.1%."
"Our economists continue to expect 25bp rate increases at the December and March FOMC meetings, absent a further material tightening in financial conditions."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)
Eng yaxshi maqolalar
1Pi Network Price Forecast: PI hits record low as bearish pressure overwhelms rebound hopes2Ripple Price Forecast: XRP risks further losses as bears eye $13New Zealand Dollar jumps to 0.5600 after first New Zealand's election results4US Dollar Index: Fed path and CPI focus – Deutsche Bank5Indian Rupee hovers near multi-month highs as foreign inflows support Indian equities6Forex Today: US Dollar retreats following NFP-inspired rally7Germany Trade Balance s.a. came in at €15.6B below forecasts (€19.2B) in September8Germany Exports (MoM) registered at 2% above expectations (0.5%) in September9Germany Imports (MoM) came in at 4.2%, above expectations (0.5%) in September
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