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US Dollar: Will Near-Term Support Give Way to Weakness Later? – ING
Support for the US Dollar (USD) should persist into early 2027, according to ING’s Chris Turner, with robust US growth, inflation above 3% and a hawkish Federal Reserve providing the underpinning. As headline inflation eases towards the Fed’s 2% target, however, he expects short-dated US rates to move lower.
Can the Fed’s stance keep the Dollar supported into 2027?
"The dollar should stay supported by strong US growth, high inflation and a Fed threatening to tighten before weakening next spring as inflation falls."
"Our base call assumes that the Federal Reserve stays hawkish in the first quarter, as decent US growth and above-3% inflation keep money markets pricing in the threat of an extended tightening cycle."
"That turns in the second quarter, when energy-driven base effects drop out of headline inflation and a return to the Fed’s 2% inflation target sees short-dated US rates move meaningfully lower."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Learn more.)
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